This service (“the Service”) is operated by [YOUR LEGAL NAME OR COMPANY], [REGISTERED ADDRESS], contact hello@lockstepmarkets.com. By creating an account you agree to these Terms. If you do not agree, do not use the Service.
The Service is an analytics and information tool. It reads publicly available Polymarket trading data and reports statistical measures of a wallet’s historical record, including whether that record is distinguishable from chance. It also provides a simulator in which you may follow wallets using notional, non-monetary balances.
On a paid plan you may optionally supply the private key of a wallet you control, so that the Service can place orders on Polymarket that mirror a followed wallet. This feature is off by default and requires several deliberate steps to enable.
By default, the Service only places real orders following a wallet that has met our published statistical criteria. Trades from wallets that have not met those criteria are simulated only. You cannot copy an unproven wallet with real money by accident or by omission.
You may switch that default off in Settings, after the Service has shown you its assessment of the wallet concerned. If you do, the Service will place real orders following wallets our own analysis does not support, and you accept that you have chosen to act against that assessment. We do not withdraw or soften the assessment because you have chosen to override it.
If you enable this feature you acknowledge that: the key is encrypted at rest but must be decrypted in memory to sign orders, so a compromise of our systems could expose it; you should use a separate wallet funded only with money you can afford to lose; and you may lose the entirety of that balance. We never claim to be unable to access a key you have supplied.
We are not a broker, exchange, custodian, fund, investment manager or financial advisor. We do not hold client money: any wallet you connect remains yours, funded by you, and we cannot withdraw from it. We provide no investment, financial, legal or tax advice, and no personal recommendation. Meeting our statistical criteria is not a recommendation to follow any wallet.
Every figure the Service reports is a measurement of past, already-settled events. Statistical labels such as “Edge detected” describe how unlikely a historical record is to have arisen by chance. They are not predictions, forecasts, guarantees, or recommendations, and they carry no implication that any pattern will continue.
Statistical measurement is inherently uncertain. A wallet may satisfy our criteria and subsequently perform poorly; a wallet may fail them and subsequently perform well. Both outcomes are consistent with the method working as intended.
Simulator and backtest results assume orders fill immediately, in full, at the displayed price, with no spread, no market impact and no failed fills. Real trading meets none of those conditions. Simulated results are systematically optimistic and must not be relied on as an indication of actual or achievable returns.
Whether you trade manually or enable automated copying, every position is opened in your own wallet on Polymarket. You alone decide which wallets to follow, what limits to set, and whether to enable copying at all. You bear all risk of loss. You may lose money, including the entirety of any amount you commit.
You are responsible for determining whether trading on Polymarket is lawful for you in your jurisdiction, and for complying with all applicable law, including tax obligations arising from your trading.
Our analysis depends on third-party data, principally Polymarket’s public APIs. That data may be incomplete, delayed, revised or unavailable. Markets may be re-resolved or disputed after we have read them. We make no warranty as to accuracy or completeness, and we may revise any figure without notice as underlying data changes.
You must provide a valid email address and keep your credentials secure. You are responsible for activity under your account. One person, one account. You must be at least 18 years old.
Paid plans are billed in advance through Stripe. There are two paid tiers, which differ in how many wallets you may copy simultaneously. Recurring subscriptions renew until cancelled; prepaid periods do not renew and simply expire. We do not store your card details.
Cancelling. You may cancel a subscription at any time from Settings. Cancellation takes effect at the end of the period you have already paid for, and you keep full access until then; nothing further is charged. You can reverse a cancellation from the same place while the period is still running. Prepaid periods cannot be cancelled because they never renew — they simply end on their expiry date.
Refunds. If a payment is refunded in full, or reversed by your bank, paid access ends immediately and any remaining prepaid period is cancelled. A partial refund does not affect access.
[LAWYER: UK consumer contracts give a 14-day cancellation right for distance-sold digital services, which can be waived only with express consent to immediate performance. Confirm the wording and refund position.]
We aim to keep the Service available but do not guarantee uninterrupted access. Analysis depends on third-party APIs that may be slow or unavailable. We may modify, suspend or discontinue any part of the Service with reasonable notice.
The Service is provided “as is” and “as available”, without warranties of any kind, to the fullest extent permitted by law. In particular we do not warrant that any statistical conclusion is correct, will remain correct, or is suitable for any purpose you have in mind.
[LAWYER: this clause must be drafted for your jurisdiction. Two distinct exposures: (a) reliance on a statistical conclusion, and (b) the optional copying feature, where we hold an encrypted key and execute orders — no client money, but real execution. Note the evidence gate means we only ever execute behind wallets meeting published criteria; confirm whether that helps or hinders the position. UK consumer law limits how far liability can be excluded against consumers.]
We store your email address, password hash, subscription status, the wallet addresses and settings you enter, and — only if you enable copying — an encrypted private key you supplied, which you can delete at any time. Wallet addresses and trading histories analysed by the Service are public blockchain data and are not personal data we have collected from you. We do not sell data. We use no third-party analytics and set no advertising cookies; the only cookie is the one that keeps you signed in.
Deleting your account. Settings has a delete option. It removes your account, your stored key, your tracked wallets, your settings and your entire simulated history, and cancels any subscription first so you cannot continue to be billed. It is immediate and irreversible; we keep no copy and cannot restore the account.
Two things are not deleted, because neither is personal data about you: the record of trades we observed from public wallets, and our cached statistical scores for those wallets. Both describe public on-chain activity by third parties and are stored against the wallet address, not against the account that looked at them. Backups are overwritten on a rolling basis and any residual copy disappears with them.
Payment records are retained by Stripe, and by us where we are required to keep them for tax and accounting purposes, for as long as the law requires.
[LAWYER: a standalone privacy policy is still required under UK GDPR.]
We may update these Terms. Material changes will be notified by email and will require renewed acceptance before continued use.
[LAWYER: insert governing law and jurisdiction.]
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